Smash Notes
Why Is a Single P-doom Number Refused?
at 11:20
Answer
A single probability is refused because the topic is far too complex to collapse down to a single probability. If you only tell stories of doom, you're more likely to get those stories, so saying P-doom is 70% or 10% already affects what the future P-doom would be. We don't really have a precedent, so it's just pure vibes.
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