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Back to Eric Schmidt scores US vs. China: who’s winning the AI race?, with Eric Schmidt & Bob Safian.

How Far Behind Is China in the AI Race?

Eric Schmidt says China is now six months behind in the race to build reasoning and intelligence systems. A year ago or two years ago, China looked a year or two behind. He was part of the group that put chip restrictions on China and assumed the limits would work for about 10 years. Chinese teams still figured out the algorithms and knowledge with essentially one-tenth of the energy and some factors less of performance.

Many studies show the six-month gap. Whether the gap will get slower or bigger is a huge debate in the industry. At the moment the contest is a two-horse race. The race for intelligence is the race of a millennium, and children, grandchildren, and great-grandchildren will all be affected in fundamental ways by what is occurring now.

Grokipedia·China·Eric Schmidt

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Eric Schmidt scores US vs. China: who’s winning the AI race? ·

Masters of Scale

More from this episode

  1. How Much Power Does American AI Need?Eric Schmidt says American AI needs somewhere between 60 and 80 gigawatts of power to get through 2030 and 2031.
  2. Why Did China Choose Open-source AI Models?Eric Schmidt says China chose open-source and open-weight models because it was behind and needed users quickly. America's large models are mostly closed.
  3. What Did AI Do to Math in One Month?Eric Schmidt says mathematicians face Armageddon: everything in their world was overthrown in one month.
  4. Why Does Sending Chinese PhD Students Away Hurt the US?Eric Schmidt gives the United States the edge on leadership and talent, then says the country is giving that edge away.
  5. Is the US-China AI Race a Zero-sum Game?Eric Schmidt tells Bob Safian the AI race is not a zero-sum game, and that China is not an enemy. Competitors can still create a whole new market.

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