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Back to Why Pessimism Makes Dumb Ideas Sound Smart - David Deutsch - #1164, with David Deutsch.

Why Does David Deutsch Say Drop Certainty?

David Deutsch says people should look to correct errors and should not look for certainty. He quotes Popper, who says we are all alike in our infinite ignorance, and who says we may all know different things. An infinite distance remains. People hold different finite amounts of knowledge, so everyone is only ever at the beginning of infinity, and they have something in common with everyone else at the beginning. Holding oneself up as an authority is a philosophical mistake and a sociological or cultural mistake. It is a power play rather than a participation in the growth of knowledge.

Chris Williamson asks how a person can hold strong convictions while remembering they can be completely mistaken, vast in ignorance and partial in knowledge. David Deutsch says the matter is psychological. Sometimes certainty means the person investigated every alternative, satisfied themselves the alternatives were wrong, and kept their reasons. More often, in past times, certainty meant faith and obedience, and people treated the state of mind as virtuous. They judged each other and themselves by how much of it they had.

In modern times knowledge has accelerated across the last couple of hundred years. Every adult has been proved wrong about something they were sure was right, or has seen something happen that they were sure would never happen.

Grokipedia·David Deutsch·Chris Williamson

Transcript

Why Pessimism Makes Dumb Ideas Sound Smart - David Deutsch - #1164 ·

Modern Wisdom

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  1. Why Does David Deutsch Call Misunderstanding Your Fault?David Deutsch agrees that whenever someone does not understand you, the fault is yours, not theirs, unless they are a golden retriever.
  2. Why Does David Deutsch Reject All Certainty?David Deutsch says people should aspire not to have any certainty. People should aspire to uncertainty.
  3. Why Does David Deutsch Dismiss the Fermi Problem?David Deutsch says the Fermi problem is not the kind of problem he likes. We do not know whether we are alone in the universe. We might be or we might not be.
  4. Did Turning From Nuclear Power Cause the Climate Problem?David Deutsch says fear of artificial intelligence is not a justified fear.
  5. Why Can't We Write a Grandmaster's Chess Program?David Deutsch says use only the old theory and you will say AGI is impossible in that way. Know what we know and you will see why it is possible.
  6. Why Does David Deutsch Call Creativity Unimpressive?David Deutsch says creativity by itself is not an impressive thing. He uses the word to mean the ability to create new knowledge.
  7. Why Are School Exams Such Bad Stand-ins?David Deutsch says education is judged by how well and how accurately you fill the bucket.
  8. Why Does David Deutsch Reject Compulsory Education?Chris Williamson asks what a better approach is for somebody who wants to learn a lot from people who know a lot, and whether people should exit formal…
  9. Why Did Popper Say to Marry a Problem?David Deutsch says diversity is the key to a good life, and he does not think any formula applies to everybody, or even to any two people.

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