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Did Turning From Nuclear Power Cause the Climate Problem?

David Deutsch says fear of artificial intelligence is not a justified fear. He remembers people saying the same thing about nuclear reactors, loudly and often enough that societies stopped making nuclear reactors. He says that stop caused the present climate problem.

From his point of view, critics picked at random one of many bad things that could happen. They did not know whether a nuclear disaster would arrive, and there was no particular reason to think it would, even though it could. They alarmed everybody. People took drastic action to avoid the alarm, and the results were catastrophic. He calls the turn away from nuclear power the worst effect on the environment that our species has ever had.

Deutsch says turning away from artificial intelligence because of a similar fiction would be a big catastrophe, but not as big as the turn away from nuclear power. He had been tempted to call the artificial intelligence version a bigger catastrophe, then rejected the dramatic version.

Grokipedia·David Deutsch

Transcript

Why Pessimism Makes Dumb Ideas Sound Smart - David Deutsch - #1164 ·

Modern Wisdom

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  1. Why Does David Deutsch Call Misunderstanding Your Fault?David Deutsch agrees that whenever someone does not understand you, the fault is yours, not theirs, unless they are a golden retriever.
  2. Why Does David Deutsch Say Drop Certainty?David Deutsch says people should look to correct errors and should not look for certainty.
  3. Why Does David Deutsch Reject All Certainty?David Deutsch says people should aspire not to have any certainty. People should aspire to uncertainty.
  4. Why Does David Deutsch Dismiss the Fermi Problem?David Deutsch says the Fermi problem is not the kind of problem he likes. We do not know whether we are alone in the universe. We might be or we might not be.
  5. Why Can't We Write a Grandmaster's Chess Program?David Deutsch says use only the old theory and you will say AGI is impossible in that way. Know what we know and you will see why it is possible.
  6. Why Does David Deutsch Call Creativity Unimpressive?David Deutsch says creativity by itself is not an impressive thing. He uses the word to mean the ability to create new knowledge.
  7. Why Are School Exams Such Bad Stand-ins?David Deutsch says education is judged by how well and how accurately you fill the bucket.
  8. Why Does David Deutsch Reject Compulsory Education?Chris Williamson asks what a better approach is for somebody who wants to learn a lot from people who know a lot, and whether people should exit formal…
  9. Why Did Popper Say to Marry a Problem?David Deutsch says diversity is the key to a good life, and he does not think any formula applies to everybody, or even to any two people.

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