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Back to Inside the Anthropic Bet That Made Menlo a Top AI Firm | Matt Murphy, with Matt Murphy.

Why Did Matt Murphy Back Anthropic Before Revenue?

Matt Murphy backed Anthropic before it had revenue because the partnership had decided it had to be in the category. Anthropic was at least the second-best company, with the best technical team.

He participated in the Series C and then led the Series D. Anthropic was pre-revenue and pre-launch, at a four billion, four-plus-billion-dollar valuation. Back in 22 and 23, an exit at a four billion valuation was a spectacular outcome in the history of venture, and that price was the entry point. A venture fund had to work out a commitment of that size. A growth fund had to work out a company still pre-revenue and pre-launch, so the round was caught in the middle. The team had created ChatGPT, the models were benchmarking really well, and the market was massive. They bent the rules a little, treated the fit as imperfect for either fund, and joined with a goal to lead the next round.

As soon as the investment was made, the relationship with Anthropic changed. The work covered recruiting, talking to customers, and strategic issues that come up early in a company, and it worked out fabulously.

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Transcript

Inside the Anthropic Bet That Made Menlo a Top AI Firm | Matt Murphy ·

The Peel with Turner Novak

More from this episode

  1. Why Is Anthropic's Headline Burn Figure Not Cash?Matt Murphy says Anthropic's headline burn figure is not cash.
  2. How Fast Is Anthropic Growing Compared With Google?Matt Murphy says Anthropic is growing on a clock that makes Google's famous run look slow.
  3. Why Did Menlo's Anthropic Check Look Too Small?Matt Murphy says Menlo's first Anthropic check looked too small to matter to the fund. It did not fit the venture fund or the growth fund.
  4. How Did Menlo Raise an SPV With No Anthropic Financials?Matt Murphy says Menlo's first special-purpose vehicle for Anthropic nearly got ahead of the firm.
  5. Why Did Matt Murphy Join Menlo Ventures?Matt Murphy joined Menlo because the firm had already done the generational handoff that wrecks other venture firms.
  6. Why Did Menlo Go All in on AI?Matt Murphy says Menlo put all its chips on the table when the AI wave arrived. Conviction inside the whole firm was incredibly high.
  7. How Did Menlo Become a Top AI Firm?Matt Murphy says Menlo became a top AI firm by stacking pieces for years, not by spotting Anthropic on the day of the round.
  8. Why Do Venture Firms Decay?Matt Murphy says venture firms decay through poor handling of generational transition.
  9. What Is Menlo's Anthology Fund?Matt Murphy says Menlo's Anthology Fund was a way to see more of the AI map before it was obvious which companies would matter.
  10. Why Is AI Not a Repeat of 1999?Matt Murphy says this AI wave is not a repeat of 1999 because that boom hit a wall this one does not have.
  11. Should Venture Firms Slow Down?Matt Murphy is open to venture firms slowing down, and he does not know that the market needs a lot of changes right now.

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