Back to Inside Anthropic’s trillion-dollar AI gamble, with Joey Brookhart.
Why Does Anthropic's S-1 Show an $80 Billion Loss?
Joey Brookhart says Anthropic's $80 billion loss is a non-cash charge for warrants and convertible notes after the valuation jumped, not cash missing from the business. Nilay Patel raises the figure because it dominated comment sections the day before. Investors would back the charge out. It sits apart from stock-based compensation, where employee shares still hit the income statement even though no cash leaves the bank. Someone who does not know the accounting can read the number as bad news. It is there because Anthropic has grown and the valuation has risen so much. Amazon is the other party on those instruments. Amazon gains because Anthropic is buying a lot of AWS and because the valuation is higher, and Amazon is diluted as Anthropic goes public, sells shares, and keeps raising money.
Cash actually burned is $10 billion. Cash and marketable securities are more than $120 billion, with probably another $100 billion after the IPO. Anthropic rents compute instead of laying out that capital itself. Tech companies dilute. An investor who accepts the long-term AGI case, and expects Anthropic to lead, is looking at a business Brookhart puts above $10 trillion, large enough to outrun dilution. Major labs, hyperscalers, Broadcom, and Nvidia backstop many of the deals.