Smash Notes

Back to The hidden supply chain costs of the AI boom, with Willy Shih.

What Is the Chicken Tax on Imported Trucks?

Willy Shih says the chicken tax is a tariff on imported light trucks, and it is a reason Detroit's profits sit on trucks and SUVs. The tariff came out of a trade dispute. SUVs are built on that light-truck platform, so the tax protected the vehicles that became the profit center. He says the price ended up higher than it might have been without the tariff.

Toyota and Nissan have built more light trucks in the United States, and in Mexico, over the last decade or so. Walking the Toyota factory in Georgetown, Kentucky, he heard the plant manager confirm that the site still makes sedans, uses parts mostly from nearby states, employs American workers, and buys American-made steel under a long-term deal with a supplier. Other factories he has visited still import steel, because it remains cheaper from Asia even with a steel tariff.

A tariff has a cost, and a domestic industry can still be built. Doing it takes a broader plan than a tax at the border: longer agreements with suppliers, and a less transactional way of buying.

Grokipedia·Nilay Patel·United States

Transcript

The hidden supply chain costs of the AI boom ·

Decoder with Nilay Patel

More from this episode

  1. How Does Willy Shih Size Up a Foxconn Plant?Willy Shih says he sizes up a plant from first principles: once Foxconn was not going to build a glass plant across the street in Wisconsin, an LCD factory…
  2. How Do Manufacturers Get Around Tariffs?Willy Shih says manufacturers get around tariffs by moving the work, usually the final assembly, to a country the tariff does not hit.
  3. Can Tariffs Bring Manufacturing Jobs Back?Willy Shih says tariffs do not bring ordinary manufacturing jobs back, because the United States is a high-cost country and a returning job has to pay for…
  4. Why Is the iPhone Still Assembled in China?Willy Shih says the iPhone is still assembled in China because the phone needs a huge manual workforce, and China is where that many people can be put on a…
  5. Why Is China Still the World's Factory?Willy Shih says China is still the world's factory because provinces and cities compete to make better products at lower prices, and the factories spend…
  6. Why Is the AI Boom Making RAM More Expensive?Willy Shih says the AI boom is making RAM more expensive because demand for memory chips has run far ahead of what the factories can produce.
  7. Why Is Algerian Oil Cheaper to Ship Than Texas Oil?Willy Shih says Algerian oil is cheaper to ship to New Jersey than Texas oil because the United States does not build the supertankers the Jones Act requires…

People

More answers like this

More with Nilay Patel

Related episodes

Plays from this note through the rest of the episode.

Weekly highlights

One letter a week.

The notes worth hearing, with the minute they were said.