How Do You Spot Product-market Fit Early?
Josh Woodward spots early product-market fit by watching people's eyes, because the early read is way more art than science. Teams already know how to run experiments, make data-driven decisions, and set OKRs, and that process helps. Sometimes a couple of people simply have conviction that the future will look a certain way, and they cannot explain it. That kind of advice is not very useful, and it is still part of the early read.
A more useful check is to get outside the building and show people early prototypes. In the room, the metric is people's eyes, not a usage dashboard. Ask what they think. If their eyes light up and they lean in, the early signal is there. If they look bored, the prototype is not hitting a nerve in their life.
The flip side is to fall in love with the problem, not the product. It takes three, four, or five pivots before a team either has something or decides it did not work. Falling in love with the product solution first leads to a bad time.