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How Often Should a Busy Restaurant Change Prices?

Nick Kokonas says a busy restaurant should change its prices every day, every hour, or every minute. Owners who print a menu once a quarter stay stuck on the old price, and on a packed Wednesday the staff sends guests to a rival down the street.

Uber had the right idea and the worst name. Surge pricing drew real trouble because of the word. On New Year's Eve, people called it gouging. Higher pay was the point: more money gets more drivers on the road so supply rises to meet demand. Drop surge and call it dynamic.

The gap is still open across the economy, even after a sale for hundreds of millions. He believes geofenced pricing, localized and variable prices for time-slotted businesses, will make someone hundreds of billions of dollars. He got tired of convincing restaurant owners. Every day is game day for them, and constant repricing is the work they self-selected out of. They need one big button that says make more money, with the hard part hidden behind it. With AI, maybe that button is finally here.

Grokipedia·Nick Kokonas·New Year

Transcript

How to find your arbitrage (from the guy who’s done it 3x) ft. Nick Kokonas ·

My First Million

More from this episode

  1. How Do You Know You Are Taking Enough Risk?Nick Kokonas knows he is taking enough risk when a morning feels close to throwing up and he has not thrown up yet.
  2. What Does All Talk, No Action Mean?Nick Kokonas says all talk, no action is what AT&A means in his house. His wife uses the phrase on him.
  3. Why Did Nick Kokonas Erase College From His Resume?Nick Kokonas erased college from his resume so a firm would hire him as a runner at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange for $5 and 25 cents an hour.
  4. Why Did Nick Kokonas Offer to Pay His Own Boss?Nick Kokonas offered to pay a floor trader for the chance to work for him, because that trader was the only person in the pit who could teach what he was after.
  5. Why Is Expertise a Trap?Nick Kokonas says expertise is a trap because comfort is how you get passed.
  6. Why Is Every Arbitrage About Time?Nick Kokonas says every arbitrage is about the timescale. He turned down podcasts for about three years, then said yes to this one so he could say that.
  7. Why Did Nick Kokonas Shut Down a Risk-free Trade?Nick Kokonas shut the trade down because it worked too well.
  8. What Did Nick Kokonas's Father Say About Boats, Women, and Drugs?Nick Kokonas's father told him no boats, no women, and no drugs.
  9. Why Did Nick Kokonas Quit the Trading Floor?Nick Kokonas quit the floor because the window was closing and he did not like who he had become. Every arbitrage shuts, fast or slow.
  10. Why Are Tuesday and Saturday Dinner Reservations the Same Price?Tuesday and Saturday dinner reservations are the same price because restaurants still sell time as if every hour were worth the same.
  11. Why Do Great Songwriters Throw Out Most Songs?Nick Kokonas says everything is grind: a great songwriter writes songs every day and throws out 98 percent of them, and while a song finished overnight might…
  12. Why Did Alinea Publish Its Business Plan Before Opening?Alinea published its business plan before opening so strangers could fix it and so future guests would already feel part of it.
  13. Why Did Alinea Start With an Empty Table?Nick Kokonas built the opening of Alinea on the concert Stop Making Sense.
  14. Why Do Magicians Stand Next to You?Magicians stand next to you because trust follows the person looking at the same thing you are. Nick Kokonas took that from old magic books.
  15. How Did Alinea Group Investors Get Paid?Alinea Group investors were paid from the first year, not only when the group was sold. Nick Kokonas sold the group in 2023.
  16. How Did Tock Finish a Buyer's Question List in Three Days?Tock finished a buyer's list of 896 questions in three days because Nick Kokonas would not let the advisors set the pace.
  17. Why Is Intensity the Strategy?Nick Kokonas says intensity is the strategy because winners do not know a secret he missed and they do not hold a magic formula.
  18. What Did Nick Kokonas Tell Napa Grape Growers?Nick Kokonas keynoted the Napa Valley Grape Growers Association last spring after telling the group they had the wrong person.
  19. What Is Strange House?Strange House is a walk-through built to make a stranger feel five years old, not a restaurant and not a magic show.

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