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Back to The $3.5T Bailout: Elon's Plan To Merge Tesla And SpaceX.

Why Are Amazon's AI Chips Sitting in Warehouses?

Ed Elson says Business Insider reporting shows Amazon spending billions of dollars a month on NVIDIA server racks and GPUs it cannot immediately install, so a lot of the racks are sitting in warehouses waiting to be used. He calls the warehouse a concrete sign that the hyperscalers maybe did overbuy, because the chips were supposed to be generating cash today.

Since September, eight data center listings have been pulled, postponed, or repriced. Firmus canceled an IPO. SP Energy delayed an IPO. Elise, another data center company, went public and the stock fell more than 30% on day one. Ed Elson says credit markets are souring on AI. Credit default swap spreads are exploding and hitting record highs on names like Oracle, NVIDIA spreads are rising, and CoreWeave is hitting record highs. Ramp data shows corporate token spending is slowing down.

Ed Elson calls the Elise drop a warning for what happens when AI data center companies go public. He says they do not do very well, and he groups the idle Amazon chips with the weak listings and the wider credit stress.

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Transcript

The $3.5T Bailout: Elon's Plan To Merge Tesla And SpaceX ·

Prof G Markets

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  2. What Are the Odds of a Tesla and SpaceX Merger?Ed Elson says prediction-market traders put the odds of a Tesla and SpaceX merger before 2028 at 81%.
  3. Why Would Elon Musk Merge Tesla Into SpaceX?Scott Galloway says Elon Musk would merge Tesla into SpaceX because when Musk merges one company into another, it is an acknowledgement that the first company…
  4. Why Is Tesla Stock Lagging the Market?Ed Elson says Tesla stock is down 13% over the past year, and on a five-year window it has underperformed the S&P by about three times, because the car…
  5. How Would a Tesla and SpaceX Merger Work?Ed Elson says a Tesla and SpaceX merger would probably mean SpaceX buys Tesla and pays Tesla investors in SpaceX stock.
  6. Do Tesla Shareholders Give Up Votes in a SpaceX Merger?Ed Elson says Tesla shareholders would give up their votes in a SpaceX merger. He says the larger point of the deal is to consolidate power.
  7. Why Wouldn't SpaceX Pay a Premium for Tesla?Scott Galloway says SpaceX would not pay a premium for Tesla.
  8. Why Does Scott Galloway Call Elon Musk a Traitor?Scott Galloway calls Elon Musk a traitor to the West.
  9. What Is Anthropic's Actual Loss?Scott Galloway says the accurate Anthropic loss is $9 billion on $16 billion in revenue.
  10. Where Is AI Risk Still Not Priced in?Ed Elson says AI risk is already priced into public stocks, and the risk that is not priced sits in private markets.
  11. What Revenue Does the AI Spending Boom Assume?Scott Galloway says the existential risk in the AI buildout is that the capital spending already committed assumes the market grows to $3 trillion in revenue…
  12. Which Company Has the Biggest AI Upside?Scott Galloway says the biggest risk-adjusted upside in AI right now is Mark Zuckerberg and Meta.

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