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Back to Arvind Krishna & Nikesh Arora: Quantum Threat, Open vs Frontier AI, AI Cyber Warfare & SaaS Collapse, with Arvind Krishna & Nikesh Arora.

Can AI Software Replace a Bank Lookup?

Arvind Krishna says replacing a database lookup for retail banking, or the work of closing the books, with AI-generated software is going to be hard. He puts the reliability bar at 10 to the minus 15. The examples already on the table were interaction rich, and he treats a lookup or a close as a different case.

Krishna says there is going to be a distinction in how easy replacement is. A digital twin would have to run for years before a cutover. All-In's reply is that there is no cost advantage to doing that.

Interaction-rich work sits on the easier side of Krishna's distinction. Retail banking lookups and closing the books stay harder to hand to AI-generated software when the reliability target is 10 to the minus 15.

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Transcript

Arvind Krishna & Nikesh Arora: Quantum Threat, Open vs Frontier AI, AI Cyber Warfare & SaaS Collapse ·

All-In

More from this episode

  1. When Could a Quantum Computer Break Today's Encryption?Arvind Krishna puts a working quantum computer that breaks today's cryptography at 2030.
  2. Should Teams Use the Best AI Model First?Nikesh Arora says that in the experimentation phase a company should use the best model it can find, in the easiest way.
  3. How Often Are AI-found Code Flaws Real?Nikesh Arora says a model that has learned what good code looks like can also point at bad code. Attackers only need one real vulnerability.
  4. Will Agent-written Code Beat Human-written Code?Arvind Krishna says agent-written code will be superior to human-written code.
  5. Will Every State Ban Data Centers?Arvind Krishna says there is no chance all 50 states will ban data centers. A ban in 30 states is possible, and the remaining 20 would rub their hands in glee.
  6. Why Will Enterprise Software Vendors Consolidate?Nikesh Arora says there is going to be a huge disruption in the SaaS space over the next few years. Arvind Krishna builds on that point.

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