What Happens to the Price of a Drug Designed for One Person?
Mark Cuban says the cost of designing a drug for one person, after a model reviews that person's DNA, will start approaching zero as models get more capable. Faster chips, power, and networks matter, but the algorithms are what change the price, and nobody yet knows how fast the algorithms improve. He puts the shift at five, ten, or twenty years.
The first drugs are the ones on a drugstore shelf. Advil, Tylenol, and ibuprofen are not the same drug in every body, and people find out by trying them. Once a model can personalize an over-the-counter dose, the same logic reaches prescription drugs where patients now choose among Eliquis, Xarelto, and warfarin. He told two frontier labs to fold the service into a $20 or $200 subscription once it exists, because the extra cost falls the way inference is already falling. A DNA read is already $99 or less. The manufacturing pods Cost Plus Drugs is building are how he wants the one-person batches made.
Mark Cuban on Why AI Could Turn Solo Founders Into Trillionaires ·