Why Did Home Depot Work So Uniquely Well?
Ben Gilbert's takeaway is that Home Depot worked uniquely well because shoppers will buy in a no-frills warehouse, the U.S. home improvement market is huge, and Home Depot captured most of the specialty-store business. Home Depot is the only specialty retailer in the world in the same universe as Costco, Walmart, and Amazon retail.
Home improvement is the perfect warehouse category. People are delighted to buy hammers and lumber in a warehouse, which saves the cost of a separate backroom and showroom. The home improvement industry in the U.S. is $300 billion, while U.S. furniture is $180 billion. The market used to be super fragmented. Home Depot is 51% of the market, Lowe's is 29%, and Menards has less than 5%. By 2026, Home Depot and Lowe's together represent 80% of the market for home improvement stores.
Scale economies that were not apparent when the business was a small fragmented thing have led to winner take most. The narrative he thinks management itself would tell for many years is that Home Depot is still a small part of the market, and the share depends on how the market is defined. Defined as home improvement stores, the share is 51%. It makes sense that Home Depot should be able to command the cheapest prices from the manufacturers, and passing the savings on to shoppers should show up as market share.