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Why Don't Dating Preferences Predict Who We Fall for?
Paul Eastwick says the traits people name as what they want in a partner do a poor job of predicting whom they like once they meet face to face.
Introduce someone who has the three qualities a person listed, and that someone is liked. Introduce someone else with three different qualities, attractive, sociable, and a supportive kind person, and they are liked just as much, even though those traits were not on the list. People also meet someone who seems to check every box and do not feel it, or meet someone they would not have drawn up in advance and feel drawn anyway. That pattern shows up across the data.
The gap is hard to see from the inside. Asked for a type, a person names a few salient traits and misses the rest. The judgment can involve hundreds of preferences. Moving from three deal-breakers out to 35 traits explains a little of why one person appeals and another does not, and still misses most of the reason. Funny, adventurous, attractive, outgoing, and kind can each carry a different weight, and that weighting can be hidden from the person who holds it. People are choosing from only a few samples, so introspection about those weights stays limited.