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Back to Josh Brown: If This Is A Bubble, It’s Pathetic, with Josh Brown.

Why Does Josh Brown Think Anthropic Timed Its IPO Well?

Josh Brown says Anthropic nailed the timing of its IPO. Asked whether the company comes out at $2 trillion or gets cut to $1.5 trillion, he says a cut to $1.5 trillion still reaches $2 trillion, because enthusiasm will be peaking as the shares go public. This is not a case of staying private until the heat is gone.

Bankers are learning how to run IPOs of $100 billion to $1 trillion in real time. Cerebras was a rough try at staggered windows when shareholders can sell, SpaceX did that better afterward, and Anthropic can use what they just learned. He says the company could raise $100 billion today with its eyes closed, including a Series G in the private market, and that it does not have to go public to survive. Going public is the smart move because Wall Street wants the paper. His rule is to feed the ducks when the ducks are quacking. The story he hears in the offering is that Anthropic is the safe, regulated lab, answerable to the market's regulators, and willing to talk in public about the risks.

Transcript

Josh Brown: If This Is A Bubble, It’s Pathetic ·

Prof G Markets

More from this episode

  1. How Fast Is Anthropic's Revenue Growing?Josh Brown says the revenue growth is what stood out in Anthropic's filing, even though leaks and comments from private investors had already pointed the same…
  2. Why Is Anthropic's $80.7 Billion Loss the Wrong Number?Josh Brown says Anthropic's $80.7 billion headline loss is the wrong figure to fixate on.
  3. Does Anthropic Have a Moat?Josh Brown does not think Anthropic has a moat like SpaceX, Nvidia, or Apple.
  4. How Much Has Anthropic Agreed to Spend on Compute?Ed Elson says Anthropic has already signed up to spend $800 billion, and those dollars are not on the income statement yet.
  5. What Is the Bear Case Against Anthropic?Scott Galloway says the bear case against Anthropic is that large companies will put a budget on AI use, and that frontier models have no real switching costs.
  6. What Did Josh Brown Make of the Anthropic S-1?Josh Brown wanted to hate the Anthropic S-1, but after reading it he recognized the numbers and stopped short of a full reversal.
  7. Why Does Josh Brown Say the AI Bubble Is Pathetic?Josh Brown says that if this is a bubble, it is the most pathetic one he has ever seen, and an anti-bubble.
  8. Who Benefits If the AI Neoclouds Fail?Josh Brown says a shakeout among neoclouds is good for the companies that already own compute.
  9. Will Anthropic Create Thousands of Multimillionaires?Josh Brown says Anthropic is going to create thousands of multimillionaire households.
  10. What Does Josh Brown Think Is Netflix's Biggest Problem?Josh Brown says Netflix's biggest problem is a comparison the company cannot do much about.
  11. When Does a Bull Market Hit Its Yearly High?Josh Brown says the high of the year in a bull market lands in December or January almost all the time.

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