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Back to A quiet investor’s $10 billion bet on AI, chips, and defense, with Alex Davis.

Why Invest More After a Startup's Valuation Goes Up?

Alex Davis keeps the list of companies Disruptive wants to own. Sometimes it is 20 names, sometimes 15, and he holds the list. Names come on and off. The job is to forecast which of them are the investments that matter, then follow them, including a company that is still too early and one that is about to break through. Missing a round at one price is not a reason to refuse a later round. The firm is the opposite of an investor who feels the chance was missed.

A higher valuation can be the moment for a larger check. The business has become something they can underwrite, or there is more they can do to take the company to market. Pitch decks are not how the good investments arrived. The weak results were the times they invested because a deck came in. The record is strong when they go and find the company. When a company comes and finds them, that is adverse selection.

Transcript

A quiet investor’s $10 billion bet on AI, chips, and defense ·

Sources with Alex Heath

More from this episode

  1. Why Raise a $10 Billion Fund When Valuations Look Frothy?Alex Heath asks why announce a $10 billion growth fund when valuations look frothy.
  2. Why Does Alex Davis Only Back Companies That Are Already Winning?Alex Davis says Disruptive was not built as a fee business by people who had left banking for venture.
  3. How Does a $10 Billion Fund Become Ten Checks?Alex Davis says the firm has already been writing some of the largest checks in growth-stage companies, especially over the last five or six years, after 15…
  4. Why Are Top Startups Blocking SPV Investors?Alex Heath asks why leave deal-by-deal vehicles, where limited partners could see each company, for a fund. Alex Davis says this is the first real fund.
  5. Why Did Alex Davis Double Down on Palantir Before Its IPO?Alex Davis says Disruptive had been in Palantir for about 10 years when COVID arrived.
  6. What Is Alex Davis Building at Groq After the Nvidia Deal?Alex Heath describes an early investment in Groq, the inference-chip company, and a $20 billion licensing deal with Nvidia.
  7. Why Will Speculative Data-center Landlords Get Hurt?Alex Davis does not think there are too many neoclouds. He thinks there are not enough good ones.
  8. Will Defense Startups Become the New Prime Contractors?Alex Davis expects new prime contractors for the first time in 100 years, and a defense-tech market that does not look like the old one.
  9. Is Value Investing Dead?Alex Davis says the only thing he wrestles with before writing a check is regulatory, meaning whether a regulatory problem was a reason to pass.
  10. Why Does Alex Davis Wish He Had Backed Closed Models Harder?Alex Davis does not point to regrets in what Disruptive did. Fifteen years later he does know answers he did not have then.

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