Back to Nate Silver Predicts a ‘Momentous’ Midterm, with Nate Silver.
How Did Florida Become So Red?
Nate Silver puts Florida’s turn toward the Republicans at 75 percent migration and 25 percent a death spiral for the Democratic Party, a spiral he says might reinforce itself.
Florida is unusual in offering blue-state amenities without as many liberals, and the mix has always attracted older people. A lot of the shift is political self-selection.
In most states, voter registration has begun to favor Democrats over Republicans again after four or five years in a row when it did not. Comebacks for Democrats are showing up in the Midwest in particular, and in Pennsylvania, but not in Florida. Florida keeps getting redder at the registration level.