Why Do People Dismiss AI Risk Warnings?
Bill Gates says people dismiss AI risk warnings because past fears about technology, including the job market, never arrived, so the new warnings look like another false alarm they can ignore. Outside the industry, awareness and the willingness to believe are very low. The same move shows up when a lab says a model cannot be released because it is too dangerous: the warning gets called hype meant to prop up a bubble.
The capability underneath the warning is already here. AI has crossed a threshold and is by far the most dangerous technology ever invented. The basic power of the models reaches social relationships, the job market, cyber attacks, and bioterrorism, and it will have pervasive effects on the economy and how war is fought. The industry is speaking up. The warnings from people close to the work are the truth, and the view is pretty much universal. OpenAI's founding story included a design meant to avoid opening Pandora's box if the lab became too powerful, and DeepMind negotiated the same kind of concern with Google's management.
Bill Gates says to prepare for 20 years of ‘tumultuous’ AI disruption ·